Trade Aptitude

Results of Friday’s Best S&P Futures Turning Points: Neither suggested trade triggered and they remain on the chart. The strategy did catch the top and bottom of the day session (see chart). Click the button below to join and get access to all the levels every day. 

Today’s Best S&P Futures Turning Points (consider wider stops and less size in fast moving markets): 

Buy 4551.75 stop 4547.25. Short 4595.00 stop 4599.25. 

The World Sentiment Index: (+100/-100) dips from +14 to +7 in a world of mixed sentiment with mostly low volatility.

Catalysts: PMI MFG Flash @ 9:45. Earnings releases accelerate this week and FOMC on Wednesday may keep it range-bound. 

Quick Tip: Newbies Only Part 6

This is a multi-part process. If you didn’t read the prior five newsletters you can find them here. 

We’re moving on to risk management and the topic is so important we’ll be diving deeper and covering...

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Trade Aptitude

Results of Tuesday’s Best S&P Futures Turning Points: Buying 4577.75 stopped out.

Today’s Best S&P Futures Turning Points (consider wider stops and less size in fast moving markets): 

Buy 4551.75 stop 4547.25. Short 4595.00 stop 4599.25. 

The World Sentiment Index: (+100/-100) jumps from -14 to +14 in a world of mixed sentiment and low volatility.  

Catalysts: Nothing on the economic calendar. Not many earnings releases but mostly positive results this morning. The BIG event is $2+ trillion in options expiration coupled with a rebalancing of the Nasdaq 100 for Monday’s open. Volatility should be high. 

Quick Tip: Newbies Only Part 5

This is a multi-part process. If you didn’t read the prior four newsletters you can find them here. 

Yesterday you chose your primary asset class to be trained in, stocks, options, futures, or Forex. During that training you’ll likely be learning a ...

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Trade Aptitude

Results of Tuesday’s Best S&P Futures Turning Points: Neither suggested trade triggered in a relatively narrow range session. 

Today’s Best S&P Futures Turning Points (consider wider stops and less size in fast moving markets): 

Buy 4577.75 stop 4573.50. Short 4602.50 stop 4606.25. 

The World Sentiment Index: (+100/-100) falls from +29 to -14 in a world of mixed sentiment and low volatility.  

Catalysts: Jobless Claims & Philly Fed MFG @ 8:30. Existing Home Sales @ 10:00. Tech earnings start weak. 

Quick Tip: Newbies Only Part 4

This is a multi-part process. If you didn’t read the prior three newsletters you can find them here. 

Yesterday you determined your starting and subsequent risk capital contributions. Along with your prior choice of time horizon (day, swing, or position) you’re ready to find the perfect asset to trade. 

Best choices… 

Position Traders: Stocks...

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Trade Aptitude

Results of Tuesday’s Best S&P Futures Turning Points: Shorting 4575.00 was only good for a 5.25-point move before stopping and breaking out higher. 

Today’s Best S&P Futures Turning Points (consider wider stops and less size in fast moving markets): 

Buy 4577.75 stop 4573.50. Short 4631.50 stop 4637.00. 

The World Sentiment Index: (+100/-100) jumps from -7 to +29 in a world of mild Bullish leaning sentiment. 

Catalysts: Housing Starts @ 8:30. Crude Oil Inventories @ 10:30.  Corporate debt and bankruptcies are concerning… up 360% in the past two years according to Bloomberg. 

Quick Tip: Newbies Only Part 3

This is a multi-part process. If you didn’t read the prior two newsletters you can find them here. 

Yesterday you chose a time horizon to trade within and created a “calendar” with times blocked out for your trading tasks, research, execution, and review. 

It’s...

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Trade Aptitude

Results of Monday’s Best S&P Futures Turning Points: Shorting 4546.25 only offered a 4.25-point scalp but the breakout offered a healthier 15 points favorable (see chart). 

Today’s Best S&P Futures Turning Points (consider wider stops and less size in fast moving markets): 

Buy 4512 stop 4507.00. Short 4575.00 stop 4580.75.

The World Sentiment Index: (+100/-100) jumps from -50 to -7 in a world of mixed sentiment and low volatility. 

Catalysts: Retail Sales @ 8:30. Industrial Production @ 9:15. Housing Market Index @ 10:00. More bank earnings.

Quick Tip: Newbies Only Part 2

This is a multi-part process. If you didn’t read yesterday’s newsletter you can find it here.

Assuming you’re passionate about trading, recognize it will take time to develop the skills, and you’re committed to succeed, let’s expand on your time commitment and how that affects your next few decisions.

If you only...

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Trade Aptitude

Results of Friday’s Best S&P Futures Turning Points: Buying 4531.75 picked the bottom of the session but triggered late and only offered 8 points favorable. 

Today’s Best S&P Futures Turning Points (consider wider stops and less size in fast moving markets): 

Buy 4512 stop 4507.00. Short 4546.25 stop 4551.50.

The World Sentiment Index: (+100/-100) drops from +14 to -50 with all open major markets Bearish to neutral. 

Catalysts: Empire State MFG Index @ 8:30. Dollar weakens. No major earnings releases, several large banks tomorrow. 

Quick Tip: Newbies Only Part 1

With all the online trading education available now; blogs, podcasts, books, newsletters, video courses, indicators, and live trading rooms anyone relatively new to trading can get overwhelmed quickly. 

As much as it seems difficult to profit from trading, the truth is there are plenty of ways to beat the market. You should know...

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Trade Aptitude

Results of Thursday’s Best S&P Futures Turning Points: Shorting 4550.25 picked the top of the session and closed the day +12.25 points. 

Today’s Best S&P Futures Turning Points (consider wider stops and less size in fast moving markets): 

Buy 4531.75 stop 4527.50. Short 4575.00 stop 4580.75. 

The World Sentiment Index: (+100/-100) drops from +71 to +14 in a world of mixed sentiment and very low volatility. 

Catalysts: Import Prices @ 8:30. UM Consumer Sentiment @ 10:00. Earnings Season Kicks off with BLK, WFC, and JPM beating on revenue and earnings. 

Quick Tip: Ready to Change? 

Markets are like the weather, always changing. Trends become ranges. Ranges become trends. High volatility becomes low. Low volatility becomes high. 

That’s pretty much it for markets, only four conditions. 

If you carefully analyze your losers you may find that the change in market conditions was...

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Trade Aptitude

Results of Wednesday’s Best S&P Futures Turning Points: Shorting 4504.50 was cancelled during CPI data release. 

Today’s Best S&P Futures Turning Points (consider wider stops and less size in fast moving markets): 

Buy 4485.75 stop 4482.00. Short 4550.25 stop 4555.75.

The World Sentiment Index: (+100/-100) rises from +36 to +71 with all major world markets firmly Bullish. 

Catalysts: PPI & Jobless Claims @ 8:30.   

Quick Tip: Achieving Success 

Success at trading, at anything, is formulaic. No one stays successful at anything without a proven formula to follow. What’s yours? 

You may think it’s your trade plan. You may think you need the hottest strategies, the best broker, more risk capital, and better sources of information. All that surely helps but the foundation for your success starts within you. 

It’s your belief. 

Do you honestly believe you can become a...

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Trade Aptitude

Results of Tuesday’s Best S&P Futures Turning Points: Shorting 4482.75 filled in the Globex last night and stopped out. 

Today’s Best S&P Futures Turning Points (consider wider stops and less size in fast moving markets): 

Buy 4456.75 stop 4452.50. Short 4504.50 stop 4509.25.

The World Sentiment Index: (+100/-100) rises from +29 to +36 in a world of mostly Bullish sentiment and rising volatility.  

Catalysts: CPI @ 8:30. Scattered Fed speakers. Crude Oil Inventories @ 10:30. 10-year bond auction @ 13:01. Fed’s Beige Book @ 14:00.  

Quick Tip: Reversals Approach

The character of price moving up is different than price moving down. You’re likely familiar with the “stairs up, elevator down” analogy. Because fear is more powerful than greed price does tend to fall faster than it rises. 

This observation can assist you when it’s time to place a reversal trade. 

With the CPI...

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Trade Aptitude

Results of Monday’s Best S&P Futures Turning Points: Shorting 4443.50 picked the top of the session and ran for 19.50 points. 

Today’s Best S&P Futures Turning Points (consider wider stops and less size in fast moving markets): 

Buy 4412.50 stop 4407.50. Short 4482.75 stop 4486.50.

The World Sentiment Index: (+100/-100) rises from +21 to +29 in a world of mild Bullish sentiment and low volatility.  

Catalysts: Nothing on the economic calendar. Fed speakers yesterday confirming more rate hikes. 

Quick Tip: Entries are Exits.

Exiting your trades is when all the money is made or lost. The loss is a simple decision, where your stop order rests. The profit decision is trickier. 

Imagine you’re long and price is behaving well, moving up firmly. The only certainty you have is that it won’t go up forever. There will be stalls, corrections, bases, and reversals within the move. 

When do you take...

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