Today’s Best S&P Futures Turning Points: Nothing tradeable today.  

Thursday’s results: This strategy is on hold... but had a superb week of gains and may be back in business on Monday. 

The World Index: (+100/-100) soars from -71 to +36 with all most world markets mildly Bullish on fading volatility. 

Catalysts: PCE/Personal Income @ 8:30. UofM Consumer Sentiment (revised). 

Quick Tip: How Not to Confirm

Many traders use a two-step process to enter their trades. The first is called a “setup.” Certain conditions appear ripe for an entry. The second step is called “confirmation.” The final evidence says pull the trigger. 

Here’s an example: Our trend strategy will signal that a trend is starting based on a chart pattern and current volatility. But that is not when the entry occurs. We wait for confirmation by looking for additional signals, then buy on a retracement to reduce...

Today’s Best S&P Futures Turning Points: Nothing tradeable today.  

Thursday’s results: This strategy is on hold... but is improving and likely out of the drawdown soon.

The World Index: (+100/-100) eases from +50 to +36 with most major world markets mildly Bullish. 

Catalysts: PPI @ 8:30. UofM Consumer Sentiment @ 10:00. Earnings starts with big banks. 

Quick Tip: Resilience 

Baseball great Harmon Killebrew said, “The most important athletic ability is the talent to comeback from behind.” True in sports, true in business, true in trading. 

The great come-back athletes were different than their peers. They knew there would be setbacks. They thought in advance how to handle them. They didn’t get emotional. They snapped to attention and executed their plan. 

Traders have losing streaks. Can’t avoid them. 

Are you reactive or proactive? What’s your comeback...

Today’s Best S&P Futures Turning Points: Nothing tradeable today.  

Tuesday’s results: This strategy is on hold... but is improving and likely out of the drawdown soon.

The World Index: (+100/-100) is stable at +21 in a mildly Bullish, low volatility world. 

Catalysts: Powell @ 10:00. Crude Oil Inventories @ 10:30. 10-y Bond Auction @ 13:00. Fed’s Bowman & Goolsbee @ 14:30. 

Quick Tip: Persistence

Every successful person in trading and in life has gone through barriers and setbacks to achieve their success. Every failure was viewed as a learning experience. 

In trading everyone deals with losing streaks, drawdowns, unfilled winning trades, slippage, internet outages, criticism from family and friends, and more. 

Consider: 

“I have not failed. I have just found 10,000 ways that won’t work.” Thomas Edison

“I have failed again and again throughout my life....

Today’s Best S&P Futures Turning Points: Nothing tradeable today.  

Monday’s results: This strategy is on hold... but is improving and likely out of the drawdown soon. 

The World Index: (+100/-100) plummets from +50 to -14 most of the world leaning Bearish on modest volatility.  

Catalysts: Fed’s Powell @ 9:30. JOLTS @ 10:00.  

Quick Tip: Need to Know

Curiosity leads to learning and discovery. We want to know the “what, why, how, when & where.” 

All good. Except in day trading. 

Any time you see the price plunge or skyrocket on high volume your first impulse is to find out why, what happened?

But does it matter? As a day trader your setup likely lasts less than an hour. Do you need to understand the reason if you’re only trading price action? Do you even have the time to find out? 

If you’re a day or short-term trader the better time to be...

Today’s Best S&P Futures Turning Points: Nothing tradeable today.  

Friday’s results: This strategy is on hold. 

The World Index: (+100/-100) improves from +29 to +50 with all major world markets mildly Bullish. 

Catalysts: S&P MFG PMI Final @ 9:45. ISM MFG PMI @10:00. 

Quick Tip: Blind Spot

There are so many cognitive biases that affect our trading results, and everyone has some. Possibly the worst bias is called Personal Blind Spot.

It occurs when you fail to recognize your weaknesses and shortcomings, leading to suboptimal trading decisions and poor performance.

One of the primary ways to resolve this bias is through self-reflection and self-awareness. You must take the time to assess your strengths and weaknesses and be brutally honest about their limitations.

Easier said than done, so get feedback from others, your colleagues, or mentors, to gain an objective perspective on...

Today’s Best S&P Futures Turning Points: Nothing tradeable today.  

Thursday’s results: This strategy is on hold. 

The World Index: (+100/-100) jumps from -50 to +29 with most major world markets mildly Bullish. 

Catalysts: PCE Price Index/Personal Income/Personal Spending @ 8:30. Fed’s Daly @ 8:40. Chicago PMI @ 9:45. UofM Consumer Sentiment (revised) @ 10:00. Fed’s Monetary Policy Report @ 11:00. Fed’s Bowman @ 12:00, Daly @ 12:40.  

Quick Tip: Calm Down

Even if you don’t golf you’ve probably heard that it’s a mental game. Most athletics are. Trading is too. Dr. Richard Coop, author of the book “Mind Over Golf” advises players to have their own personal pre-shot routine.

Let’s use his advice but change the details to improve our trading. 

1. If you’re approaching a trade entry with a negative feeling, pause and use some physical...

Today’s Best S&P Futures Turning Points: Nothing tradeable today.  

Thursday’s results: This strategy is on hold. 

The World Index: (+100/-100) plummets from +43 to -36 with all major world markets flat or Bearish. 

Catalysts: Non-Farm Payrolls/Unemployment Rate @ 8:30. Fed’s Cook @ 12:00. 

Quick Tip: Great Job! 

Your focus when trading should be on doing the job well. That doesn’t necessarily mean winning. You can do your job well and lose. Why? Because we have no control over the outcome, only our behavior and discipline to follow our rules. 

Here are your main “job” components as a trader: Research, practice, preparation, execution, and review. 

There are plenty of analogies that compare traders with athletes, musicians, artists, and the military. These are all considered performance activities. So is trading. Think...

Today’s Best S&P Futures Turning Points: Nothing tradeable today.  

Friday’s results: This strategy is on hold. 

The World Index: (+100/-100) soars from -14 to +57 with all major world markets Bullish.  

Catalysts: Final MFG PMI @ 9:45. ISM MFG PMI, MFG Prices & Construction Spending @10:00

Quick Tip: When to Stop

All trading strategies have drawdowns (a protracted losing streak). The challenge is trading through it. You can’t stop thinking that it may “never come back” or churn for an extended period. Or you could get FOMO and think if you stop now it will roar back and you’ll miss the gain. Obviously, these thoughts are destructive. Don’t go there. 

What you should do is have Stop-n-start rules to follow. These are rules that tell you when to stop trading the strategy and when, if ever, to start up again. This will take the emotion out of the process. Apply these rules to...

Today’s Best S&P Futures Turning Points: Nothing tradeable today.  

Thursday’s results: This strategy is on hold. 

The World Index: (+100/-100) eases from -29 to -14 with sentiment mixed on varying volatility, leaning Bearish. 

Catalysts: PCE Price Index, Personal Income & Spending @ 8:30. Chicago PMI @ 9:45. Fed’s Williams @ 12:05. 

Quick Tip: Good Question

Think for a moment before you answer this seemingly simple question. Do you find it harder to take a loss or a profit? 

The answer says a lot about your trade plan, style, trading psychology, and what you need to work on. 

If your answer was a loss, then your risk management plan needs help. You’re probably risking too much. You might be trading the wrong strategy, one with more losers than winners like trend following. Your personality might be the problem if you get annoyed being wrong (trading is about probabilities, not...