Trading Lessons from A Road Less Traveled 

In this 4-part series we'll explore why traders need more than technical analysis and market strategies—they need emotional resilience.

We’ll use ideas from the bestseller A Road Less Traveled by M. Scott Peck, to find ways how traders can achieve mental discipline, personal growth, and manage their emotions for long-term success in the markets. If you missed yesterday's article you can find it here. 

3. Delaying Gratification: The Patience to Wait for Profitable Trades

"Delaying gratification is a process of scheduling the pain and pleasure of life in such a way as to enhance the pleasure by meeting and experiencing the pain first and getting it over with." – M. Scott Peck

Many traders struggle with the urge for instant results (especially yours truly). This impatience leads to overtrading, revenge trading, and abandoning strategies prematurely. Peck’s concept of delaying gratification teaches traders to endure short-term discomfort fo...

Happy New Year! The next blog is part of a multi-part process to tune up your trading plan for the coming year. If you haven’t read the prior seven posts, you can find them here. 

Brokerage risk is rare but real. Ask anyone who had money with FTX. Keeping your trading accounts with reputable brand name brokers regulated in the USA is the safest decision. If you’re comfortable with offshore and unregulated brokers then start with a very small account and regularly take money out of it. That should give you some comfort that you’ll get your money when you want it, but it won’t guarantee that when you want a large distribution you’ll get it. 

Market risk is unavoidable. Major catalysts happen with no notice. Think about the reaction to the pandemic. Your best protection against market risk is a personal financial plan that is diversified among uncorrelated assets. Stocks, bonds, precious metals, real estate, cryptos, art, etc. Your best protection is having multiple income streams from ...

Yesterday’s results: No trades suggested.

Today’s Best S&P Futures Turning Points: Buy 6098.25 stop 6094.25. Short 6095.00 stop 6099.00 if price retraces up from below. 

The World Index: (+100/-100) lifts from -29 to -14 with sentiment mixed on low volatility. 

Catalysts: Retail Sales @ 8:30. Capacity Utilization & Industrial Production @ 9:15. Housing Market Index @ 10:00. 20-Year Bond Auction @ 13:00. 

Quick Tip: What’s Harder? 

Think for a moment before you answer this question. Do you find it harder to take a loss or a profit? 

The answer says a lot about your trade plan, style, trading psychology, and what you need to work on. 

If your answer was a loss, then your risk management plan needs help. You might be trading the wrong strategy, possibly one with more losers than you can accept or large losers. 

If your answer was a profit, then your risk management is fine, but your open trade management needs work. You might suffer from FOMO. 

If your answer was neither. You’ve ...

Yesterday’s results: Neither trade triggered. 

Today’s Best S&P Futures Turning Points: No suggested levels today. 

The World Index: (+100/-100) drops from +36 top -7 with Asia Bearish and the west Bullish. 

Catalysts: Import/Export Prices @ 8:30. 

Quick Tip: Your Mindset

Much research has proven that your mindset affects outcome. If you think positive you’re likely to behave positively and cause a desirable outcome. Vice versa for negative thoughts and outcomes. 

Today being Friday the 13th, I thought it would be interesting to uncover some research on market outcomes for today. 

Two notable research projects on what is called the Friday the 13th Effect on financial markets were found. One study by Donald B. Keim and Robert F. Stambaugh in 1984 found that stock returns on Friday the 13th were significantly lower than on other Fridays. Conversely, a more recent analysis by Bespoke Investment Group revealed the opposite, the average gains for the S&P 500 are four times higher tha...

Yesterday’s results: No trades suggested. 

Today’s Best S&P Futures Turning Points: Short 6091.75 stop 6095.25. Buy 6094.50 stop 6091 if price retraces down from above. 

The World Index: (+100/-100) dips from +21 to -7 with sentiment mixed on low volatility. 

Catalysts: Revised Non-Farm Productivity & Unit Labor Costs @ 8:30. 

Quick Tip: Fear No More

Fear paralyzes progress in anything you do. In trading, there are 5 types of fear. Recognizing you’re susceptible to them is the first step to a solution. 

Fear of Missing Out (FOMO) – you can’t tolerate watching a winning trade from the sidelines. This breeds impulsivity. Solution: Have an abundance of trade opportunities using multiple strategies tuned to different market conditions. 

Fear of Loss – you still feel upset about losing money. Solution: Lower your risk and find a strategy you have confidence in by practicing in simulation mode. 

Fear of Being Wrong – you are embarrassed to be wrong and get mad at yourself when you ar...

Yesterday’s results: Buying 6100 stopped out. The short didn’t trigger. 

Today’s Best S&P Futures Turning Points: Buy 6065.00 stop 6061.25. Short 6062.00 stop 6065.75 if price retraces from below (filtered out during the Non-Farm Payrolls release).  

The World Index: (+100/-100) jumps from +7 to +36 with most major world markets somewhat Bullish. 

Catalysts: Employment Situation @ 8:30. Fed’s Bowman @ 9:15, Goolsbee @ 10:30, Hammack @ 12:00, Daly @ 13:00. UofM Consumer Sentiment @ 10:00. 

Quick Tip: Discipline

Three celebrated authors on trading success, Mark Douglas, Van Tharp, and Alexander Elder, all agree that one aspect of trading is crucially important: 

"The key to trading success is emotional discipline. If intelligence were the key, there would be a lot more people making money trading." - Mark Douglas

"Successful trading is not about being right; it’s about being disciplined. Discipline is the ability to follow one's trading plan, regardless of emotions or external inf...

Yesterday’s results: Neither trade idea triggered, and they remain on the chart today.

Today’s Best S&P Futures Turning Points: Buy 6017.25 stop 6012.25. Short 6013.00 stop 6018.00 if price retraces up from below. 

The World Index: (+100/-100) jumps from +14 to +57 with all major world markets Bullish on increasing volatility. The S&P Futures are not participating yet. 

Catalysts: JOLTS @ 10:00. Fed’s Kugler @ 12:35, Goolsbee @ 3:45. 

Quick Tip: One Tough Lesson

If you’re a discretionary trader intuitively making entry and exit decisions and you’re successful, congratulations! You are a rare breed. It’s not that discretionary trading doesn’t work, it’s that to succeed takes years to hone your skills. 

This leaves rule-based trading as the best alternative for developing trading skills and success for the vast majority. It seems so simple. Find a proven strategy with edge. Follow the rules. What can go wrong? 

Here’s the tough lesson you need to learn: You think you know what’s g...

Friday’s results: Neither trade idea triggered and they remain on the chart today.

Today’s Best S&P Futures Turning Points: Buy 6017.25 stop 6012.25. Short 6013.00 stop 6018.00 if price retraces up from below. 

The World Index: (+100/-100) jumps from -7 to +14 with most major world markets mildly Bullish on low volatility. 

Catalysts: S&P Global MFG PMI Final @ 9:45. ISM MFG PMI & Prices @ 10:00. Fed’s Waller @ 15:15 and Williams @ 16:30. 

Quick Tip: Abundance Mindset

You probably noticed that the Turning Points shared here frequently don’t trigger. Sometimes a few days can go by without a trade. 

You may be thinking, “This is not enough action for me.” 

On the contrary, this strategy provides far more setups than are freely shared, we’re just trying to get acquainted! Add in the reversal and momentum strategies and there are dozens of opportunities every day in our live futures trading room.

Now you may be thinking “That is too much action for me.” 

It’s all about your mindse...

Yesterday’s results: No suggestions offered.  

Today’s Best S&P Futures Turning Points: No great levels today. 

The World Index: (+100/-100) jumps from -29 to -7 with China/HK the only Bulls. 

Catalysts: GDP, Jobless Claims, Durable Goods, Trade Balance @ 8:30. Chicago PMI @ 9:45. PCE, Personal Income/Spending, Pending Home Sales @ 10:00. Crude Oil Inventories @ 10:30. 

Quick Tip: Being Grateful

Thanksgiving is the holiday that reminds all of us to practice gratitude. However, plenty of research has been done that proves we should be grateful more often. Like daily. 

The list of benefits is long and in all cases will improve your trading performance!

1. Reduced anxiety.

2. Improves your ability to handle stress.

3. Increase happiness. 

4. Improve relationships. 

5. Boost productivity and goal achievement. 

6. Increase positive emotions. 

That’s an incredible list! How does it work? 

Gratitude shifts attention away from negative emotions and fosters a sense of abundance, w...