While we can’t predict the future exactly we can approximate the future. Take price action for example. Price is either: 

1. Trending and volatile.

2. Trending and quiet.

3. Range-bound and volatile.

4. Range-bound and quiet. 

A complete trade plan would include different strategies that are in harmony with each of these market conditions. With that, you can align your working strategy with the current market conditions.

Knowing the present condition is easy, the challenge becomes which condition is next and when will it change? 

Technical indicators are helpful. Yes, most are lagging and we’re always looking for leading information but used skillfully indicators can help build your case for timing the change in market conditions. 

Bollinger Bands are a fabulous indicator for this purpose. They clearly display trends and volatility, the key data points to consider. 

In reading his book, Bollinger on Bollinger Bands, I found a pearl of trading wisdom that stuck with me, and I u...

A critical component to our trade plan is the review process. Let’s face it, we’ll never improve at anything unless we know what to change. The other key benefit to a comprehensive review process is how it increases our confidence in our strategies. 

Review starts with documentation. You’ll capture several data points for every trade the strategy teed up regardless of whether you took the trade or not. 

Here’s the data we capture for our futures day-trading team. 

1. Date, Day of week, Catalyst(s) (news, earnings, etc.).

2. Overnight range, Expected day session range. 

3. Inside/Outside day, daily pivots, hourly trend, daily trend.

4. Average True Range, day session range, ATR targets up/down, supply/demand levels, volume profile levels. 

5. Trade data: taken or not?, time in, time out, entry price, stop loss, target(s), risk/reward, Maximum Favorable and Adverse Excursion, result. (Note: if you use other technical indicators like RSI, moving averages, etc., their values would b...

As a 25-year trading veteran, I’ve seen plenty of winning and losing streaks, and I know how dangerous they can be—especially for less experienced traders. Here’s what I’ve learned over the years to help manage the streaks. 

On Winning Streaks: 

1. Stay humble. The market is always waiting to humble traders who get overconfident.

2. Lock in profits. Consider scaling out of trades instead of holding full positions too long.

3. Take a step back. If you’ve had a great run, consider reducing risk or taking a break to clear your head.

On Losing Streaks:

1. Cut back on trading. Reduce position size and frequency until you regain confidence.

2. Analyze your trades. Review what went wrong—was it the market, or your behavior?

3. Recenter yourself. Walk away if you’re frustrated or switch to simulation mode.

4. Stick to proven strategies. Don’t jump from one strategy to another just because of a few losses.

5. Accept that losing is part of the game. Every trader loses. The key is to lo...

To survive and thrive in trading managing risk is critical. The basic component in your risk management plan is the stop loss (how much you are willing to lose on each trade). Before determining the stop method you’ll use, make sure the dollar amount of the loss truly fits your personal risk tolerance. 

There are many types of stop loss methods including:

1. Fixed dollar amount

2. Maximum Adverse Excursion 

3. Volatility

4. Moving Average

5. Time

6. Opposing entry signal

7. Percent Retracement

Just like your choice in style of trading, your stop loss method needs to resonate with your personality. You must trust, even like it. 

Given that markets change in volatility constantly the volatility stop is an excellent choice. This method will adjust the distance from entry to stop based on present time volatility. One simple formula uses a multiple of the Average True Range. This method will tighten the stop when the market is calmer and widen the stop when the market is volatile....

Legendary golf coach Harvey Penick wrote in his best-selling Little Red Book that you could build a solid game of golf around one club, the 7-iron. If Harvey were coaching you he would say “Simplify. Focus. Pick one club and master it.”

While that’s a sound plan to get started it won’t win you any tournaments. 

The same goes for successful trading. Focusing on one strategy or style of trading until you’ve mastered it is a great start. But market conditions change, and strategies get hot and cold. You’re best served by having the skill to trade effectively in varied conditions. 

Is the market trending or range-bound? Is the market volatile or quiet? Pick your “club!” 

Once you master your first strategy make sure the next one is complementary not competitive. Make sure it addresses different market conditions and allows you to trade in different timeframes. Have trend, reversal, day, and swing trading versions. 

Our trading teams focus on multiple strategies for day trading futures...

It’s easy to get lost in the price charts, technical indicators, price patterns, and economic data looking for trade setups. However, when it comes to identifying why any tradable asset may move significantly in price, few factors are as influential as a catalyst.

Today, the FOMC releases an interest rate decision and holds a press conference announcing their view on the economy and future interest rate direction. A catalyst like this is easy to manage. We can prepare our response since we know when it’s coming.

If you’re trading stocks or options your primary catalyst is earnings season (MSFT, META & TSLA report tonight). We don’t know the direction a stock will take until after the announcement, but like the FOMC release, we can prepare ourselves for a trade decision in either direction. 

The best catalysts are those that are unknown to the public: the “surprise” news announcements. The price reaction to these can be extreme because traders are caught off guard. 

Here’s the good ...

Imagine starting in trading without any historical information. No price charts. No patterns to study. No economic information. No annual reports. What would you use to determine if it was time to buy or sell? 

Thankfully, we needn’t dwell on that question at all. We have incredible historical information available that we can research for potential edge in our trading. But the fact is that historical information is not a perfect predictor of the future. We can’t control the market. 

The future we can control is our behavior. The result of every new day, every new trade is mostly controlled by how we behave. Were we disciplined following our rules? Were we emotional about wins and losses? Were we prepared? Were we curious about improvements? 

While we depend on historical data to give us an edge, that edge is only as good as how we act in present time. This brings us to the cornerstone of successful trading: self-mastery. In a world where the market’s movements are beyond your contr...

The worst situation to be in trading Futures or options is having one contract. You have little flexibility with your exiting decision. 

Fortunately, with many micro contracts in Futures to select from even smaller account holders can trade multiples. This gives you the flexibility to “scale out” of the trade one contract (or more) at a time. 

Ultimately, your size is a function of your acceptable risk. How much you’re willing to lose when you stop out will determine your size. Trading micro contracts, if you’re willing to lose $120 on a trade and the per-contract risk is $30, then your size is obviously 4 contracts. 

The challenge you have with day trading is market noise. The bigger picture trend may look smoother than the trading timeframe chart. Sometimes that "noise" will stop you out prematurely. One way to mitigate this is to set an initial high probability profit target as your first exit. Call it a “risk management profit target.” It gives you a little win, reduces your ris...

Trading Lessons from A Road Less Traveled 

In this 4-part series we'll explore why traders need more than technical analysis and market strategies—they need emotional resilience.

We’ll use ideas from the bestseller A Road Less Traveled by M. Scott Peck, to find ways how traders can achieve mental discipline, personal growth, and manage their emotions for long-term success in the markets. If you missed yesterday's article you can find it here. 

3. Delaying Gratification: The Patience to Wait for Profitable Trades

"Delaying gratification is a process of scheduling the pain and pleasure of life in such a way as to enhance the pleasure by meeting and experiencing the pain first and getting it over with." – M. Scott Peck

Many traders struggle with the urge for instant results (especially yours truly). This impatience leads to overtrading, revenge trading, and abandoning strategies prematurely. Peck’s concept of delaying gratification teaches traders to endure short-term discomfort fo...

Trading Lessons from A Road Less Traveled 

In this 4-part series we'll explore why traders need more than technical analysis and market strategies—they need emotional resilience.

We’ll use ideas from the bestseller A Road Less Traveled by M. Scott Peck, to find ways how traders can achieve mental discipline, personal growth, and manage their emotions for long-term success in the markets. If you missed yesterday's article you can find it here. 

2. Acceptance of Responsibility: Owning Your Trades

"We cannot solve life’s problems except by solving them." – M. Scott Peck

Blaming market conditions, news, or external factors for poor trades is easy, but it stunts growth. Peck stresses the importance of accepting responsibility for our actions. In trading, this means owning both wins and losses. By doing so, traders can analyze their mistakes, learn from them, and refine their strategies.

Tips:

• Keep a Trading “Thought” Journal: Document every trade, including the reasoning, emotions,...