The Daily Market Forecast
For Thu 210805 (Plenty can change by the open, be aware.)
Globex Review: Once again, narrow range and an EXACT repeat of yesterdayā€¦ one trade taken shorting the CPL, getting T1 and stopping out the balance. CPL came off the chart so the short at 4409 (includes yesterdayā€™s high) is ON until the day session starts (missed entry by one tick and ran for 6+ points so far).
Day Session Analysis: Looking like a repeat of yesterday. Daily chart in a range, hourly as well. World sentiment is MIXED with lower volatility. Jobless Claims should determine the early direction. Willing to trade in either direction, mindful of potential reversals in the big picture range-bound chart. Taking quicker profit than usual until (if) a trend breaks intraday. Thursday (both sessions combined) garnered ONLY 4% of all the gains over the past 5 years in dollars. Breakouts (95%) crush Reversals (5%). Passing on the Volume Profile strategy today would be sensible from a probability standpoint. Trading CL/GC/ES u...
The Daily Market Forecast
For Wed 210804 (Plenty can change by the open, be aware.)
Globex Review: Very narrow range. One trade taken shorting the CPL, getting T1 and stopping out the balance. CPL came off the chart so the short at 4417 (includes yesterdayā€™s high) is ON until the day session starts.
Day Session Analysis: All things considered, today looks range-bound. Daily chart in a range, hourly as well. World sentiment is MIXED. No market-moving economic reports. Willing to trade in either direction, mindful of potential reversals in the big picture range-bound chart. Taking quicker profit than usual until (if) a trend breaks intraday. Wednesday (both sessions combined) garnered 24% of all the gains over the past 5 years in dollars. Reversals (74%) crush Breakouts (26%). Trading ES Volume Profile, CL/GC/ES using BB Rev with new filters considered and looking for credit spread opportunities on the SPXW.
S&P 500 Futures CPL: 4409/4414. Weā€™re trading JUST BELOW the CPL (short edge below, long edge above) an...