Trade Aptitude

 

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Trade Aptitude

Tuesday’s Best S&P Turning Points Results: Buying the 3886.00 level only offered a 9.25-point gain. Shorting the breakout offered a 28.25-point runner.  

Today’s Best S&P Turning Points (consider wider stops and less size in fast moving markets): 

Waiting on FOMC to determine potential turning points. Join us for LIVE trading during the announcement @ 2PM ET. Click here to register for this free demo. 

The World Sentiment Index: (+100/-100) PLUMMETS from +86 to +7 in a world of mixed sentiment. Historically it’s a coin toss on direction. No edge.  

Catalysts: Maybe ADP Employment Report @ 8:15. EIA Petroleum Status Report @ 10:30. FOMC Announcement @ 14:00 and Press Conference @ 14:30. 

Quick Tip: Gold on FOMC

FOMC today. The mother of all catalysts. The stock market indexes will react violently offering some great opportunities if you’re willing...

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Trade Aptitude

Monday’s Best S&P Turning Points Results: Narrow range day yesterday, neither trade idea triggered. 

Today’s Best S&P Turning Points (consider wider stops and less size in fast moving markets): 

Short 3966.50 stop 3971.25. Buy 3886.00 stop 3880.25

The World Sentiment Index: (+100/-100) SOARS from zero to +86 with all major world markets bullish, especially China/Hong Kong. Historically the close is higher than the open 63% of the time. 

Catalysts: PMI MFG Final @ 9:45. ISM MFG Index, Construction Spending & JOLTS @ 10:00. Dollar eases. Yield curve near recession warning. Waiting on FOMC Wednesday. 

Quick Tip: The Big Problem

Are you working on solving it? Most traders aren’t.  Why? Because it’s hard. It’s a challenge. It’s the single most impactful change you can make to improve your trading performance. Most people would do anything else rather than solve the one problem that...

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Trade Aptitude

Friday’s Best S&P Turning Points Results: The suggested short level was only good for a 7.25-point scalp. 

Today’s Best S&P Turning Points (consider wider stops and less size in fast moving markets): 

Short 3966.50 stop 3971.25. Buy 3849.50 stop 3843.75. 

The World Sentiment Index: (+100/-100) SOARS from -64 to zero in a world of mixed sentiment. Historically it’s coin toss where we’ll end up. No edge to report.  

Catalysts: Chicago PMI @ 9:45. Waiting on FOMC Wednesday. 

Quick Tip: Exit Art

In teaching over 4000 traders in the past 13 years I’ve found the most common goal is finding better trade setups. It seems we naturally want to know when, where and with what are we going to get started. Entry rules. 

The fact is that entries are easy to find. Investing much of your research time on finding better entries is not nearly as productive as finding better exits. 

Why?...

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Trade Aptitude

Thursday’s Best S&P Turning Points Results: Neither suggested level triggered. 

Today’s Best S&P Turning Points (consider wider stops and less size in fast moving markets): 

Short 3841.00 stop 3846.25. Buy 3723.50 stop 3717.75. 

Quick Tip: Belief #1

Success at trading, at anything, is formulaic. No one stays successful at anything without a proven formula to follow. What’s yours? 

You may think it’s your trade plan. You may think you need the hottest strategies, the best broker, more risk capital, and better sources of information. All that surely helps but the foundation for your success starts within you. It’s your belief. 

Do you honestly believe you can become a top-notch trader? Or are you thinking of giving it a try?

Trying isn’t enough to overcome the challenges of anything worthwhile. It’s a negative belief. Knowing you’ll succeed is a positive...

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Trade Aptitude

Wedneday’s Best S&P Turning Points Results: The suggested short @ 3869.50 was only good for a 7.50-point move. The breakout from that level ran for 19.00 points to the next level.  

Today’s Best S&P Turning Points (consider wider stops and less size in fast moving markets): 

Short 3923.25 stop 3928.25. Buy 3792.25 stop 3787.00

Quick Tip: A Bag Full

Legendary golf coach Harvey Penick wrote in his best-selling Little Red Book that you could build a solid game of golf around ONE CLUB. The 7-iron. Amazing and true. More importantly, his wisdom can be applied to trading. 

Your email, like mine, is probably jammed with dozens of “how to trade” offers every day. Your choices for learning strategies, getting trained, and building your trading skills are endless. In fact, you’re probably CONFUSED. Too many choices leads to indecision. 

If Harvey were coaching you he would probably say...

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Trade Aptitude

Monday’s Best S&P Turning Points Results: :Neither volume level triggered. 

Today’s Best S&P Turning Points (consider wider stops and less size in fast moving markets): 

Short 3896.00 stop 3901.75. Buy 3719.25 stop 3713.50.

Quick Tip: Move Stop or Not? 

Yesterday you learned how to optimize your stop placement. How about moving it as the trade goes in your direction? 

Never moving your stop is saying market conditions don’t change, which makes no sense at all. 

In our trading room we find that aggressive stop movement is warranted in certain market conditions. Slow stop movement is warranted in other conditions. Let’s define the difference between “aggressive” and “slow” stop movement. 

Using our strategy rules the aggressive exit moves the stop to breakeven for the trade itself after target 1 is filled, and to breakeven for remaining contracts after...

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Trade Aptitude

Thursday’s Best S&P Turning Points Results: The short @ 3738.50 only offered 8.75 points. The breakout after failure offered 5.50 points. See chart. 

Today’s Best S&P Turning Points (consider wider stops and less size in fast moving markets): 

Short 3731.25 stop 3736.00. Buy 3605.00 stop 3599.25.

Quick Tip: Trader’s Fuel

If trading is a performance endeavor (it is) then the committed trader will train for peak performance. Not just practicing trading different markets and strategies in simulation mode, but training physically and mentally. 

On the physical side there is exercise, oxygenation, hydration, and food. Get in the habit before you open your trading platform. 

On the mental side there is discipline, self-control, and confidence. 

Here’s some great news: In Roy Baumeister’s book, Willpower (must read), he references dozens of studies that overwhelmingly prove how...

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Trade Aptitude

Wednesday’s Best S&P Turning Points Results: The suggested buy @ 3693.00 stopped out. 

Today’s Best S&P Turning Points (consider wider stops and less size in fast moving markets): 

Short 3738.50 stop 3743.25. Buy 3645.00 stop 3639.25.

Quick Tip: More Price Levels

This blog suggests two good setups every day. One long, one short. They are not the only setups that are presented from the volume-at-price analysis. 

Every trading day offers a different “map” of volume levels. They only work for so long, then they’re taken off the chart. That happens when the level is stopped out. Sometimes it occurs on the first touch, like yesterday’s short suggestion. Other times it happens after two, three or more touches. 

Hint: Save the levels that didn’t trigger a trade or stop out. They’re good until they’re violated. 

Looking at yesterday’s chart you’ll see a reversal level that ran...

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Trade Aptitude

Tuesday’s Best S&P Turning Points Results: Price opened above the suggested short @ 3766.50 and shorting the breakout stopped out. The buy @ 3693.00 never triggered. 

Today’s Best S&P Turning Points (consider wider stops and less size in fast moving markets): 

Short 3778.00 stop 3783.00. Buy 3693.00 stop 3687.75.

Quick Tip: Day Trades Vary

When you hear “day trading” you may envision a trader glued to an array of monitors buying and selling all day long. While that is certainly a style of day trading it’s not the only style. 

Day trading simply means you are entering and exiting your trade within that day’s session. 

The three basic styles of day trading include scalping, reversal/breakout, and hold-to-close. 

You’re essentially slicing the session into different time frames and expectations.

Scalping is moving in and out of trades for small gains taking very small...

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