Quick Tip: Measure them, plan for them, and reduce size when they last longer than average.

Every trader, professional or retail, experiences drawdowns, the period of more losing than winning trades sending your equity curve trending lower.

Don’t be surprised, they’re as normal as changes in volatility and trend on your price charts (although not as frequent!). Yet most traders treat drawdowns like personal failure rather than what they truly are: a common occurrence in a probabilistic business.

The best traders I know don’t fear drawdowns, they respect them. That respect keeps them in the game long after traders with bigger egos and weaker discipline get washed out.

What hurts the inexperienced trader is what they’re likely to do next…

1. Doubling size to “make it back fast”
2. Abandoning what works
3. Overtrading
4. Revenge trading
5. Predicting instead of following valid signals.

These reactions stack emotional risk on top of financial risk. A drawdown shouldn’t break your account. I...

One big distinction between professional traders and retail traders is this:

Pros know their exit before they enter. Retail traders try to figure it out once the heat is on.

If you’ve ever felt stressed, uncertain, or emotionally tangled inside a trade, odds are your exit wasn’t defined. And without a defined exit, your mind fills the vacuum with emotions like fear, hope, hesitation, revenge, even justification.

Clarity of exits equals clarity of mind, which in turn equals consistency of results. Every clean trading day is built on this principle.

When you don’t know where you’ll exit, every second of the trade becomes a negotiation:

• “Should I take profits here?”
• “Should I just tighten the stop?”
• “Maybe I should let it run…”
• “Maybe it’ll come back…”
• “Maybe I’ll just wait one more candle…”

That internal debate is one cause of inconsistency. 

Novice traders often underestimate how much mental bandwidth is wasted deciding mid-trade what they “should” do. Meanwhile, professi...

One of the quietest confidence-killers in trading, especially for retail traders, is something most people don’t even realize they’re doing: narrative thinking.

Narrative thinking happens when you start telling yourself a story about what the market should do.

• “It should bounce from here.”
• “It should fill the gap.”
• “It should go back to fair value.”
• “The Fed said X, so the market should do Y.”

In my trading career I’ve lost too many times by building stories instead of following signals. You may be falling into the same trap.

The market doesn’t care about what seems logical. It doesn’t care what feels deserved, fair, or reasonable. It moves on order flow and price—nothing else.

Narratives make you feel informed, prepared, even superior. They give you the illusion of knowing something. But there’s a problem: When you believe a story, you might:

• increase size
• widen stops
• hold losing trades longer
• ignore signals that conflict with “your view”
• convince yourself the marke
...

Every trader—new, seasoned, retail, or professional—eventually hits a stretch where confidence takes a punch. A few losing trades. A missed signal. A moment where emotion slipped into the driver’s seat. Suddenly the same market that once felt familiar and navigable now feels like enemy territory.

In my 26 years trading and 17 years teaching new traders, I saw this cycle play out many times. The myth most traders believe is that confidence comes roaring back after one great trade—the home run, the monster win, the “I still got it” moment.

But that’s not how real confidence works.

I’ve found that confidence returns in small, steady steps. One clean execution at a time.

After a setback, you might be tempted to swing for the fences. You’ll try to make back losses quickly. This creates a dangerous cocktail of oversized risk, sloppy entries, and emotionally charged decisions.

Pros recover confidence in the way athletes rehab an injury: carefully, methodically, without ego. When confiden...

Successful trading isn’t just about strategy—it’s about mindset. One powerful psychological tool you can use is mental contrasting —a process that helps balance optimism with pragmatism.  

In trading, mental contrasting means setting clear, ambitious goals while also anticipating challenges and planning for them. This approach keeps you focused, disciplined, and prepared for inevitable setbacks.  

Mental contrasting involves two key steps:  

1. Visualizing Success (Optimism) – Set specific, ambitious, and realistic trading goals. This could be something like: “I will grow my trading account by 20% this month” or “I will stick to my trading plan without emotional decision-making.”  

2. Identifying Roadblocks (Pragmatism) – Instead of assuming success will come easily, think about potential obstacles and plan how to handle them. Some common challenges include losing streaks, chasing trades (entering late due to FOMO), and technology breakdowns (internet outage, platform glitches). 

Warren Buffett is famous for his annual letter to shareholders. If you haven’t read one you should know that he’s a great writer and borderline humorist, well worth reading.

Since we’re near all-time highs in the stock market and the AI craze is bringing out the description “bubble” I’ll share some Buffett on that topic with you. 

Feb. 25, 2012 “Over the past 15 years, both Internet stocks and houses have demonstrated the extraordinary excesses that can be created by combining an initially sensible thesis with well-publicized rising prices. In these bubbles, an army of originally skeptical investors succumbed to the ‘proof’ delivered by the market, and the pool of buyers—for a time—expanded sufficiently to keep the bandwagon rolling. But bubbles blown up large enough inevitably pop. And then the old proverb is confirmed once again: ‘What the wise man does in the beginning, the fool does in the end.’”

Not being a long-term investor, I started thinking how I might apply the old prover...

In the stock market, emotions drive price movements just as much as fundamentals and technicals. One dangerous psychological trap you can fall into is the “bandwagon effect” — the tendency to follow the crowd without solid reasoning.  

This happens when a stock's price rises rapidly because more and more traders jump in, not necessarily because the company’s fundamentals have improved but because others are buying. This creates a feedback loop where rapidly rising prices attract more buyers, further pushing the stock higher—until reality kicks in, and the price collapses just as quickly.  

A classic example of the bandwagon effect are meme stocks (think GameStop in 2021). Traders see a stock soaring and rush in, fearing they’ll miss out (FOMO), only to be left holding the bag when the hype fades.  

Here’s how you can spot the bandwagon effect:  

Parabolic Price Action – Stocks that rise too fast in a short period, especially without strong news or earnings support.  

Unusual Volum...

The late Dr. Wayne Dyer said, “When you change the way you look at things, the things you look at change.” This is a powerful mindset shift, and it applies to your trading in a big way.

Most new traders approach the market with rigid beliefs from life’s lessons that don’t apply to trading the markets — like fearing losses, wanting to be right all the time, and making decisions without adequate input. But when you change your perspective, you start to see opportunities you were blind to before.

Instead of fearing losses, you start viewing them as part of the game—just the cost of doing business. This allows you to cut losers quickly and let winners run.

Many traders fixate on being right, but when you shift your focus to risk-reward ratios, you start thinking in terms of probabilities, not emotions.

If you’re buying stocks based on looking at one price chart, shifting to a rule-based strategy that explores several time frame charts will change how you see opportunities.

Here’s how ...

Plenty of time is spent waiting in trading. Waiting for a setup, waiting for an economic release, waiting for a profit target. Lots of waiting. 

Here’s how to make this “downtime” productive: Get proactive. Get in the habit of asking “What if…?” questions. Answer them. In doing so you’ll be making decisions in advance and be able to act on the spot. No wondering, guessing, procrastinating or flat-out missing the trade. You’ve committed with foresight. 

Here's a simple example using our intraday trend strategy: Price is slowly moving sideways. We’re waiting for a breakout in either direction to give us a “setup.” The entry comes a bit later, after a confirmation signal. 

Now is the time to anticipate and be proactive. What is our exit plan if it triggers long? Short? Is one or the other a higher probability trade given current conditions and chart features? Is there supporting evidence, confluence, from other trading strategies that might kill OR reinforce this signal?  

Get started...

Here’s an important quote from Nassim Taleb, celebrity author of Black Swan and Antifragile, “Whether it’s Covid, vaccines, Bitcoin, or stuff about elections, we’re swayed by the anecdote. So, our world is becoming more complex, requires more statistical sophistication while social media is driving us to the most primitive way of thinking.” 

Basically, he’s saying that we can be swayed by single or random events or stories rather than robust statistical analysis, adequate numbers, and scientific rigor. 

This pertains to trading perfectly. You see a one-off winning event and are wanting to repeat it. Maybe it even happened a few times. But how robust is that analysis? Not at all. 

Before changing your plan or trading the anomaly you just saw, do some research. If you’re able to code the event in back-testing software like EasyLanguage from TradeStation, do it. If not you’ll need to scan the prior price charts by hand. 

What are you looking for? Start with a sample size of 30 events....